June Economic Update: Hope returns despite the huge challenge ahead
The worst may be over for the global economy, but the recovery looks set to be slow and turbulent
While President Trump likes the idea of negative interest rates, it's clear the bar is set relatively high for the Federal Reserve to adopt them. We…
The People's Bank of China has sent mixed messages about its monetary stance. Here's what we expect for June
As the dollar bear trend starts to gain momentum, questions will be asked about all those dollars hoarded in March - an exercise associated with an 8%…
The initial shock to the eurozone economy from the Covid-19 pandemic was symmetric as all countries went into lockdown roughly around the same time. But…
We still narrowly expect the UK and EU to sign a free-trade agreement this year, albeit a basic one. But the chances of an extension to the transition…
The best-case scenario would be no yield curve control. The Fed sets the funds rate and engages in quantitative easing rather than moving rates into…
With the easing of the lockdown measures, growth is picking up in the eurozone albeit very gradually. Additional fiscal stimulus is being put in place but…
CEE economies are bracing themselves for a slow recovery. But as unemployment is set to rise and high inflation isn't an issue any longer, more…
While the ECB is not allowed to monetise debt formally in the wake of the Covid-19 crisis, there seems to be some scope to do so, without fear of…
The release of May Purchasing managers indices provides a helpful snapshot of where Asian economies stand following the sharp declines in April, which…
Some analysts suggest that the pandemic and lockdowns will lead to a return to stagflation, last seen in the 1970s and very early 1980s. We don’t…
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